Floyd “Money” Mayweather VS Sugar Shane Mosley Prediction
Floyd “Money” Mayweather VS Sugar Shane Mosley Prediction
Manny Pacquiao Autographed / Signed Rare Grant Glove
FLOYD MAYWEATHER JR & MANNY PACQUIAO signed BOXING Glove
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Here are some thoughts on the Floyd “Money” Mayweather VS Sugar Shane Mosley fight:
Power
Obviously, Sugar Shane Mosley has a significant edge in this department. However, Money Mayweather’s power is seriously underrated. Doubt Mayweather’s power? Watch the toughest boxer in recent memory, Arturo Gatti, wince in pain from Mayweather’s body shots. Speed plus precision equals damage.
Speed
“Life is about timing and inches,” Mayweather said. “Boxing is about timing and inches. I’m able to time a guy pretty well.”
Both Mosley and Mayweather are fast like Eddie Felson. Something tells me that Mayweather will make Mosley look a little slow on May 1st, and answer the question, “Will Shane Mosley be rusty after a 15 month layoff?” As far as the other big question out there, “How will Mayweather deal with Sugar Shane’s speed?” The answer is “timing”. Like my Grandfather, Michael James Mason V (an excellent boxer in his day, fought at Madison Square Garden) always said, “Good timing beats speed, power and size”.
Last Fight
Mayweather dominated the #3 pound for pound fighter in the world Juan Manuel Marquez.
Mosley destroyed Antonio Margarito.
Both fights were impressive wins. Keep in mind however, that Margarito was mentally screwed up after having his loaded handwraps discovered and was basically a punching bag for Shane.
Style
I think Mayweather has a huge edge here. Mosley tends to throw his punches a little wide whereas Mayweather throws them more straight. This could be a big advantage for Mayweather. Mosley also tries to “shake and bake” with his punches too much. Mayweather is more fluid. Mosley also has the tendency to get a little wild and lose focus. Mentally, Mayweather has the edge. Not to mention he has dominated the pre-fight Mental Warfare.
Killer Instinct
Mosley gets the edge here, although Mayweather is no slouch. If Sugar Shane can really hurt Mayweather, he can close the show.
The Jab
People always yap about how when Oscar De La Hoya used the jab, Mayweather was in trouble. Watch the fight again. The fight with Oscar wasn’t that close. It is hard to jab Mayweather when you get countered over top of it with straight rights. Also, Mosley’s jab has never been one of his strong suits. Furthermore on Mayweather’s De La Hoya win: He beat The Golden Boy at 154lbs unlike Pac-Man’s win a year and a half later at a draining, straining, 145lbs. Significant difference.
In fact, Mayweather’s jab to the body will be one of the most important punches in this fight. Watch for it. It is very subtle.
The Crowd
“Boxing is like jazz. The better it is, the less people appreciate it.” – George Foreman
The crowd with be overwhelmingly pro-Mosley. It won’t be so Platinum Digger heavy, like when Oscar fought Mayweather, but it will still be rabidly for Sugar Shane. Mayweather is such an artist that the crowd misses many of the clean punches he lands. The crowd will also no doubt cheer fanatically for every glancing and blocked combo Sugar Shane throws. This does sway judges. Also, Las Vegas, historically speaking has been pro-West Coast fighters.
The Fight
Mosley really has a hard time winning this one. If he boxes Mayweather, he will lose for sure. If he attacks and tries to rough up Mayweather, then that also plays into Mayweather’s hands.
Expect Shane to start fast and try to bully Mayweather, as he should. By round 3, Mayweather will start to discourage Shane with defense and pin-point counters.
Through the middle rounds, Mayweather will be able to pot shot Mosley with straight right leads and left hooks. With Mayweather’s back to the ropes, Shane will have some moments, but Mayweather’s underrated infighting, chin and pushing off on Shane’s eyeball with his elbow, will give as good as he gets.
The pivotal point in the fight will happen around the 8th round when Shane gets his second wind and tries to change the fight. If he can land a looping punch, which Mayweather can get touched by (see his fight with Demarcus “Chop Chop” Corley), the fight could change. But even then, I think Floyd’s defense and chin will hold up.
Rounds 10 thru 12, Mayweather will keep landing crisp shots, and possibly cut Shane and chop him up like Mark “Chopper” Read.
Look for a close decision for Mayweather on the cards and a wider margin in reality. 8 rounds to 4 for Mayweather, with a slight chance of a late round stoppage.
Mosley’s real chances are like I said before, landing a big looping punch that changes the fight or a fishy crowd influenced Las Vegas decision.
Smart money on Money Mayweather. Hell, if you are like me and have bet on Floyd every fight he has ever fought (except the Diego Corrales fight), you will end up in the black no matter what the outcome is.
Manny Pacquiao Autographed / Signed Rare Grant Glove
Click Here to Download The G Manifesto’s Free Gentleman’s Club Report (pdf)
FLOYD MAYWEATHER JR & MANNY PACQUIAO signed BOXING Glove
Update:
Floyd Mayweather Sr putting to rest the “Mayweather has been Ducking Shane” talk:
“Shane Mosley is thirty-eight and he’s coming to fight Floyd too late. You know, he’s coming to fight Floyd too late. If he had a chance, maybe he should have done it a few years ago. Floyd challenged Shane Mosley when Shane Mosley was at his best pound for pound fighter at that time at 135 pounds. Floyd challenged him when little Floyd had just won the championship at 130, the junior lightweight champion. Shane was the lightweight champion but Floyd was the junior lightweight champion and we challenged Shane, and they denied us and they did not take the challenge. They did not take the challenge. Now, he’s fighting because it’s a must—have to fight, got to fight, need to fight. That’s why he’s fighting us now. He has to, he must.”
The Rest is Up to You…
Michael Porfirio Mason
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AKA The Sly, Slick and the Wicked
AKA The Voodoo Child
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28/04/2010 at 12:32 am Permalink
i think if Mosley came in with a plan like DLHoya abandoned (b/c the fight had an agreed to outcome) he might could win some early rounds and scorewise it would be a competitive fight.
i think there is an intangible quality some are overlooking, and this may be the boxing/romantice/longshot in me…..Mosley knows this is his opportunity to become equal to Pacman as P4P the greatest of our day/time. Floyd’s safety first style tells me he would rather protect his “zero” than be the greatest fighter since Sugar Ray or Ali.
The fact that Mayweather avoided Shane for so long also tells me that stylistically or speed wise the Mayweather camp feels Shane is problematic.
Post Castillo and Chico, Mayweather hasn’t honestly taken a dangerous fight. He’s virtually only fought guys that were guys he should have beaten. Marquez as the number 3 P4P guy is a fallacy to point out in terms of shoring up Mayweather’s dominance. ANYONE looking at that fight could tell who was the bigger man….and made even more absurd by Mayweather paying the 6 figure fine/coming on OBVIOUSLY overweight.
—
Regardless of the outcome, Shane’s willingness to face Vernon Forrest 2x, Winky Wright 2x, Cotto and Margarito……….Shane is always a live underdog.
28/04/2010 at 12:45 am Permalink
I have no idea who will win this fight, both fighters match up well, overall. I will say this, For Sugar Shane to win, he must sing Mayweather a lullaby. I think if it goes the distance, Mayweather wins. While I agree with you about the crowd and how it can effect judges, I think a fight that goes the distance favors Mayweather. Shane would have to pretty much dominate the fight to take it if both men are standing after the last round and I can’t see that happening.
28/04/2010 at 9:36 am Permalink
TAllagash,
Thanks for your comment, what you are saying really seems to be conventional thinking these days.
“b/c the fight had an agreed to outcome”
I hope you are not saying Mayweather VS De la was fixed. If a fix was in, it would have been for Oscar.
“Mosley knows this is his opportunity to become equal to Pacman as P4P the greatest of our day/time”
Mosley is going to the hall of fame. He wont be the greatest of our time. Not with 5 un-avenged losses.
“The fact that Mayweather avoided Shane for so long ”
I written about this before. When was Mayweather “supposed” to fight Shane in the past? Check the history. Mayweather finally moved up to welter in 2005. The same time Shane was coming off two defeats to Winky Wright. Was he supposed to fight him then?
Was he supposed to fight Shane after his win over Collazo? Instead of fighting Oscar?
Or was he supposed to fight Shane after his loss to Cotto?
Or his win over Mayorga?
Or would it make more sense to finally fight him after his upset win over Margarito?
Mayweather has never avoided Shane. He is fighting him at the only time it has ever made sense.
“Post Castillo and Chico, Mayweather hasn’t honestly taken a dangerous fight”
Many thought Sharmba Mitchell would be even with Mayweather, like Emanuel Stewart. And Oscar De La Hoya was thought by many to be too big and too powerful for Floyd at the time. This win has only lost significance because Pac-man destroyed a drained Oscar a year and a half later.
“Marquez as the number 3 P4P guy is a fallacy”
Marquez arguably beat Pac-man twice. And Marco Antonio Barrera, Rocky Juarez, Joel Casamayor and Juan Diaz in spectacular fashion.
It is pretty safe to say he was #3 pound for pound in the world.
“Regardless of the outcome, Shane’s willingness to face Vernon Forrest 2x, Winky Wright 2x, Cotto and Margarito……….Shane is always a live underdog.”
No doubt Shane will fight anyone. However, Shane was a huge favorite in the first Forrest and Winky fights.
– MPM
28/04/2010 at 9:45 am Permalink
Jason,
“Shane would have to pretty much dominate the fight to take it if both men are standing after the last round and I can’t see that happening.”
I agree.
I also do think Mosley has a small chance of pulling off a inspiring, crowd influenced, flashy decision a la Sugar Ray Leonard VS Marvelous Marvin Hagler.
I have been around boxing too long to discount that chance.
– MPM
28/04/2010 at 10:06 am Permalink
Great breakdown G-
heres my two cents
I think what decides this matchup is whether this is a fight or a boxing match. Pretty boy clearly has a technical edge, he is quicker, smarter, more technically sound fighter than sugar, plus he has never lost. If he is able to box Mosley, he should take home a win handedly.
Sugar shane will probably be the bigger, stronger fighter on that day and if he is to somehow bully mayweather into a fight (which I have never seen someone accomplish) he has a decent chance.
Sugar shane has nothing to lose! If i were him i would just go in the first 2 rounds and bang it out! Swing for the fences and try to push mayweather against the ropes and keep him there. I’ll give Mosley a punchers chase against Mayweather, but Mayweather should win this if he sticks to his gameplan and uses his superior skills to out-box Mosley.
28/04/2010 at 8:19 pm Permalink
FINALLY! Someone who agrees with me about that Leonard – Hagler fight! LOL! Yeah to this day I can’t believe they called that for Leonard, he ran the entire fight!
But yeah, you are right, there is that chance of this fight being similiar, especially since a lot of people dislike Mayweather. So yeah, it could happen.
29/04/2010 at 8:47 am Permalink
DLHoya already had losses when he fought Mayweather. Just like the B-Hop fight, it’s suspicious. You can tell when two guys are trying to punish one another and when they’re not. The fights were scripted. The body shot scene where DLHoya crumples and pounds his fist on the canvas but doesn’t get up? Acting. Part of a trade/deal to bring B-Hop under the Golden Boy promotional banner.
It reminds me of the Rocky 6 plot. They wrote the ending where Rocky would lose, but honorably, go the distance, and acquit himself well. DLHoya’s a business man, and i can’t remember the betting line…like with the B-Hop fight, i think it was scripted.
29/04/2010 at 9:31 am Permalink
TAllagash,
You are starting to lose credibility with all these “fixed” fights. If Hopkins and De la fought 10 times, Hopkins would win all ten.
“The body shot scene where DLHoya crumples and pounds his fist on the canvas but doesn’t get up? Acting.”
Spoken like a true person who has never been hit with a liver punch.
– MPM
29/04/2010 at 9:48 am Permalink
Jason,
What Leonard did in that fight is put on a show for the judges. Flurrying the last thirty seconds of the rounds and throw combos and slide, making it appear that he was leaving Hagler in the dust. It worked.
Leonard deserves credit for a brilliant game plan. Also, I think at one time he threw like a 13 punch combo. Sick stuff.
His performance was incredible, especially considering at the time many thought he would get permanently damaged and possible go blind in the fight because of his detached retina. More people actually thought he would go blind than win the fight.
Still, that fight was damn close.
– MPM
07/05/2010 at 8:52 am Permalink
Amazing how on point your assessment of this fight was (I read it after watching the fight) …
I will admit, when Mayweather got his knee buckled in the second round it was the only time I’d ever thought: “Oh my god! mayweather isn’t invincible?”
But I would still of bet my mortgage on the kid, because he did what he does best afterwards — went back to his corner and beat him with “the smarts” as mayweather likes to call it. Like he always fucking does. Kid is amazing.
Best,
CAleb
p.s. to the idiot above … yes … he has never been hit with a liver shot.