The G Manifesto

Kentucky Derby Picks and Manny Pacquiao VS Sugar Shane Mosley

Undisclosed Location, South America –

First off, if you want to win at The Kentucky Derby, make sure you read The G Manifesto’s Classic: How to Win at The Kentucky Derby.

Second, I usually have a lot of input in years past for the Cinco De Mayo weekend’s boxing festivities/Kentucky Derby Weekend. (Check the archives for a near flawless track record on boxing picks/racing picks in years past). This year I haven’t really focused too much. Manny Pacquiao VS Sugar Shane Mosley doesn’t really capture my attention, neither does this years field for The Kentucky Derby.

In fact, I won’t be showing up at either event. Which is really a shame since I just picked up the sickest Custom Suit from my tailor.

(Side Note: as we all know, this weekend marks the start of summer on The G Manifesto Calendar.)

Anyways, that all being said, I am going to defer to Andy Beyer (a gentleman that I have been fortunate to have a table next to at The Turf Club of The Del Mar Racetrack in the past) on the Derby:

At the start of the year, people involved in Thoroughbred racing were speculating whether Uncle Mo would win the Kentucky Derby and go on to sweep the Triple Crown series. Three weeks ago they were asking if he would be fit and healthy enough to perform well in the Derby. This week they were wondering if he would even get to the starting gate. On Friday morning they got the disappointing answer: The colt is scratched from Saturday’s race.

In a way, the decision by trainer Todd Pletcher and owner Mike Repole shouldn’t affect bettors’ analysis of the Derby. There were so many negative signs surrounding Uncle Mo that many handicappers were prepared to throw him out – even though he was, on his best form the oustanding horse in the field.

After his championship season as a 2-year-old, Uncle Mo’s 3-year-old campaign has gone awry from the start. He won a trumped-up race at Gulfstream Park that was little more than a glorified workout and then suffered a shocking loss against a terrible field in the Wood Memorial Stakes. A few days later Pletcher issued a press release saying that Uncle Mo was found to be suffering from a gastrointestinal infection – the excuse for the defeat.

Some skeptics weren’t fully satisfied with this explanation because owners and trainers rarely tell the whole truth about horses’ physical problems. Questions about Uncle Mo multiplied since he arrived at Churchill Downs. His two workouts were undefinitive. His camp kept hedging about whether he would run. Repole announced that he, Pletcher, and three veterinarians would confer Thursday evening to decide the colt’s status – hardly a sign of confidence two days before the Derby.

With Uncle Mo out of the lineup, Florida Derby winner Dialed In solidifed his status as the favorite. Many fans have watched his exciting last-to-first rallies and concluded that Nick Zito’s colt is a natural Derby horse.

Yes, Dialed In was impressive charging from far behind to win the one-mile Holy Bull Stakes at Gulfstream in January. But in his two subsequent starts at 1 1/8 miles, he lost an allowance race and then struggled to win the Florida Derby. The race – filled with speed horses, run with fast early fractions – was a perfect set-up for him, yet Dialed In barely got past the 68-1 pacesetter, Shackleford, to prevail in slow time. Eleven horses in the Kentucky Derby field have earned higher Beyer Speed Figures in 1 1/8-mile races than Dialed In did in either of his starts at the distance. I believe that Dialed In’s best game is rallying at shorter distances and that he will even less effective at 1 1/4 miles. Throw him out.

None of the Derby entrants (except for Uncle Mo) has yet run a race good enough to stamp himself clearly as a potential Derby winner. Their speed figures are all sub-par. Under these circumstances, it makes sense to look for a colt whose form is on the upgrade and is likely to improve further on Saturday. Based on this standard, these are my top three:

1. Shackleford
2. Archarcharch
3. Nehro

Click Here for The G Manifesto’s Free Gentleman’s Club Report

Click Here 007 Lifestyle – Living Like James Bond!

As far as Manny Pacquiao VS Sugar Shane Mosley, look for Pacman to stop Mosley in the fight that no one wants to see (I will watch it however, or at least I think I will). It might go the distance if Paxquiao takes his foot off the gas out of respect.

It will be good to watch Kelly Pavlik’s comeback though.

The Rest is Up to You…

Michael Porfirio Mason
AKA The Peoples Champ
AKA GFK, Jr.
AKA The Sly, Slick and the Wicked
AKA The Voodoo Child
The Guide to Getting More out of Life

http://www.thegmanifesto.com

AZ – The Essence Ft Nas

How to Win at The Kentucky Derby

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Click Here to Download The G Manifesto’s Free Gentleman’s Club Report (pdf)

May 1st is a big day and the official start to the summer on The G Manifesto Calendar with The Kentucky Derby and Floyd Mayweather VS Sugar Shane Mosley.

Here is how you always can win at the Racetrack:

Your Running Partner must be short, like jockey short.

Find your mark in the crowd. The good thing is, The Racetrack has never had a shortage of suckers looking for “inside tips” and “sure things” as long as you have a little Street Sense (And I don’t mean 2007 Derby winner Street Sense, either).

Approach the mark, Custom Suited Down (very important) and introduce yourself all Charismatic-like (And I don’t mean 1999 Derby winner Charismatic, either) . “My name is Michael Mason”, shake the mark’s hand. “What horses are you betting on?”

(Actually, use an alias or an AKA, and just so its straight, my AK was my AKA since before I learned my ABC’s and the courts sent me to AA and NA, and now it’s all A-OK, Ok?)

The mark usually says something like, “Not sure yet, have you got any picks?”

Say, “No, I wish.” Then look around and say, “Wait, do you see that guy over there?”, while pointing to your running partner/“Jockey” who is busy writing down figures on a of paper.

The mark will usually say something like, “Yeah, I see him. Who is he?”

Reply, “That is XXXX XXXXXX, the famous jockey. He works with Bob Baffert.” (Always insert the name of a famous trainer.)

Then get the mark thinking: “I wonder what he is working on?”

The mark will say, “Me too”.

“If only there was a way we could meet him…Screw it, let’s go talk with him.”

“Good idea”.

To the jockey, “Hi, Michael Mason, we were wondering what you were working on.”

“Um, I was just figuring out how much money I could make today”, the jockey says.

The mark will usually take it from there, “How do you know you will win?”

Then the jockey will lower his voice Real Quiet and say, “I know I am going to win because I am racing. You two gentleman look like you can be trusted, but it must be strictly confidential. Ok? My boss is going to make a killing, and he let me have a piece of the action”. (And I don’t mean 1998 Derby winner Real Quiet, either).

Then say, “You wouldn’t mind sharing a little info would you?”

Jockey says, “I can’t do that. No way. I always keep my word to the boss. If I leak the info, it will affect the odds. And my boss always puts his bets in at the last minute.”

The mark is usually hooked with Greed at this time and will usually spew something like, “Damn. I thought you might have a tip for us.”

Then say, “How about this, if you won’t tell us the horses, can you make bets for us when you do?”

The jockey will consider this for a little bit, and say, “Sure, but I still can’t tell you the name of the horses.”

Say, “That’s ok, I just want to hit a big bet, and here is $8,000.”

The mark will inevitably say, “Here is my $7,500.”

Jockey says, “Ok, I will meet you in The Turf Club after the sixth.”

Leave with the mark, and enthusiastically get a “celebratory” cocktail. Hell, even buy it. And go for gin. (And I don’t mean 1994 Kentucky Derby winner Go for Gin, either).

Give the mark the slip.

There you go, that’s how you always win at The Kentucky Derby. Old-school hustler style.

Sans armes, Ni haine, Ni violence

See you there.

If you like to go a more conventional route and bet on The Kentucky Derby, listen to NW DC’s Andy Beyer:

“In the Kentucky Derby, more than any other race, pace is often a crucial determinant. When the pace is moderate — if, say, the first half-mile is run in 47 seconds or thereabouts — the early leaders often seize a tactical advantage. But every time the first half-mile of the Derby has been run in 45.4 seconds or faster, the pace has taken a destructive toll on all of the early pacesetters. After a 45.38 half-mile in 2005, the leaders collapsed, and the horses running 18-6-11-19 at the four-furlong mark wound up finishing 1-2-3-4, with Giacomo winning at 50 to 1. In 2001, when the pace was 44.86, the three early leaders wound up finishing 13th, 14th and 16th in the field of 17 as Monarchos and other stretch-runners dominated the race.

In a field in which it is hard to muster an ironclad conviction, Ice Box offers the best betting value. Based on the assumption that all the speed horses in the Derby will collapse, my play will be an exacta box of Ice Box and Lookin At Lucky.”

I was there to see Ice Box win at The Florida Derby. Impressive horse.

If you want to go by the “name system” and want a long shot, go with Paddy O’Prado and Jockey Kent Desormeaux.

The 136th Kentucky Derby: Its Anyone’s Race

The G Manifesto’s Del Mar Racetrack Resources:

Click Here for Opening Day The Del Mar Racetrack Style Then and Now
Click Here for The Del Mar Racetrack: 3 O’ CLOCK FRIDAYS this Year
Click Here for Surf and Turf: The Race Track
Click Here for The Del Mar Racetrack Part II
Click Here for The Del Mar Race Track: How to Dress for the Horse Races
Click Here for The Del Mar Race Track: Dope Style, Wack Style
Click Here for Opening Day Del Mar Race Track Pictures
Click Here for Del Mar Race Track Considers Shortening Season
Click Here for Del Mar Racetrack Art Mural
Click Here for 2009 Del Mar Racetrack Guide
Click Here for Joe Harper’s Blog: President and CEO Del Mar Racetrack
Click Here for The Dress Policy of The Del Mar Turf Club

Click Here to Download The G Manifesto’s Free Gentleman’s Club Report (pdf)

The Rest is Up to You…

Michael Porfirio Mason
AKA The Peoples Champ
AKA GFK, Jr.
AKA The Sly, Slick and the Wicked
AKA The Voodoo Child
The Guide to Getting More out of Life
http://www.thegmanifesto.com

Early contender for Track of the Summer:

Cypress Hill feat.Pitbull & Marc Anthony – “Armada Latina” 2010

[PARENTAL ADVISORY] Cypress Hill featuring Pitbull and Marc Anthony – Armada Latina (feat. Pitbull and Marc Anthony)
Uploaded by EMI_Music. – See the latest featured music videos.

Sample from:

Crosby, Stills & Nash – Suite: Judy Blue Eyes (Starts at 6:32)

“Que linda me la traiga Cuba
La reina de la Mar Caribe
Quiero solo visitarla alli
Y que triste que no puedo vaya
O va, o va”